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Mark Dykeman

This is a tough one, isn't it? I can understand the Elections Canada mandate: they don't want news of returns to influence the voters in later time zones and, at the same time, Maritimers would never get the "privilege" of seeing returns from the rest of Canada before they vote because of the way time zones are arranged.

Unfortunately for EC, the barn door isn't just open, it's been ripped off and it's lying on the group several miles away.

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The question is - if this really motivates sufficient force to change their minds and vote? I mean, if somebody is decided, he is decided - how many people are waiting for the news about results (especially when these news are not official) to get up and vote? If I am decided, I am going to vote no matter what's the situation, if I don't care about the situation, I just simply don't go, results or no results. Yes, there can be some people convinced during the last minutes, but I believe it's nothing...


Hey Lorne,

Thank you for the comment!

In elections, like everywhere else, we copy each other. (this is why lawn signs are so important in a political campaign - old school technology, I know...) Mark Earls' book Herd describes / explains this exceptionally well.

It is really a question of time... i.e. is there enough time after the polls close in the east to significantly impact voter behaviour in the west?

Also - I'm not sure the copying behaviour is that direct / linear. It isn't so much about people consciously waiting to hear about the results before making their decision... it's more subtle than that I think. I'm continuously surprised by just how many people make up their mind in the voting booth... and if they hear about / read about early results on their way to the polling station, then...???

cheers, cp

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